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Trump presses advisers for tariff escalation, U.S. February PCE inflation surges beyond expectations……
The current strong inflow of international capital into European equities may not continue, according to strategists at Goldman Sachs.
The team, including Lilia Peytavin, expressed skepticism about the possibility of this marking a shift towards constant buying or a substantial reallocation to Europe.
The strategists highlighted that Europe’s economic and earnings growth is slower than in other regions. They also pointed out that the region is exposed to risks, such as potential new tariffs from the United States.
Despite recent inflows, the team does not view this as over-positioning, considering it small compared to the cumulative outflows witnessed in recent years.
It’s worth noting that European stocks are currently on track for their largest quarterly outperformance against the US in history.
This trend has been driven by international investors attracted by factors such as Germany’s fiscal spending plan and lower interest rates.
Oil fell on concerns that the Trump administration’s tariff onslaught will reduce energy demand.
West Texas Intermediate slid below $70 a barrel, retreating along with equity markets. Crude still was on pace for its third straight weekly advance amid waning expectations of a near-term oversupply. The US is planning to impose tariffs on auto imports and so-called reciprocal levies next week, widening the global trade war.
Oil traders face an uncertain outlook as they grapple with President Donald Trump’s policies and an OPEC+ plan to revive idled output. WTI futures have been rangebound for the past eight months, trading in a band of about $15 between the high $60s and low $80s.
“US stocks are struggling, and longer-term demand fears are on the minds of most traders as tariffs begin to kick in on cars not manufactured in the US,” said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president for trading at BOK Financial Securities.
Earlier this week, Vitol’s chief executive officer said while there are some threats to supply, it’s generally adequate for the next couple of years. Meanwhile, Venezuela is boosting oil exports to China as the Trump administration deploys sanctions and secondary tariffs to squeeze the Latin American nation.
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